A cikin kwata na farko, kasuwar aniline ta tashi sama, kuma matsakaicin farashin kowane wata ya karu a hankali. Dauke kasuwar Arewacin China a matsayin misali, mafi ƙanƙanta a cikin kwata ya bayyana a cikin Janairu, tare da farashin 9550 yuan / ton, kuma mafi girman ma'ana ya bayyana a cikin Maris, tare da farashin 13300 yuan / ton, da bambancin farashin tsakanin. babba da ƙananan ya kasance 3750 yuan/ton. Babban abin da ya dace don haɓakawa daga Janairu zuwa Maris ya fito ne daga ɓangaren wadata da buƙata. A gefe guda, a cikin kwata na farko, manyan masana'antu na cikin gida sun sami kulawa mai zurfi kuma kayan masana'antu sun yi ƙasa. A gefe guda, dawo da buƙatun tashoshi bayan bikin bazara ya haifar da ingantaccen tallafi ga kasuwa.

Ayyukan samarwa ya ci gaba da matsananciyar goyan bayan farashin aniline sama

A cikin kwata na farko, aikin samar da kasuwar aniline yana ci gaba da kasancewa mai ƙarfi don haɓaka farashin. Bayan Ranar Sabuwar Shekara, buƙatun hannun jari kafin hutu ya ƙaru, wadata da buƙatu mai kyau, farashin ya fara bayyana ƙarancin koma baya. Bayan bikin bazara, gyaran kayan aikin aniline na gida ya karu. A watan Fabrairu, jimillar kayan aikin masana'antar aniline na cikin gida ya kasance 62.05%, ya ragu da kashi 15.05 daga Janairu. Bayan shigar da Maris, buƙatar tashar ta murmure sosai. Kodayake nauyin masana'antu ya dawo da kashi 74.15%, kayan samarwa da buƙatun har yanzu sun ba da tallafi a fili ga kasuwa, kuma farashin aniline na cikin gida ya ƙaru a cikin Maris. Ya zuwa ranar 31 ga Maris, farashin kasuwar aniline a arewacin kasar Sin yuan/ton 13250, idan aka kwatanta da yuan/ton 9650 a farkon watan Janairu, adadin karuwar da ya kai yuan 3600/ton, wanda ya karu da kashi 37.3%.

Sabbin iya aiki na ƙasa yana sake samar da aniline yana ci gaba da zama m

A cikin kwata na farko na 2023, samar da aniline na cikin gida ya kai tan 754,100, yana ƙaruwa da kashi 8.3% kwata-kwata da kashi 1.48% duk shekara. Duk da karuwar samar da kayayyaki, rukunin MDI mai nauyin ton 400,000 a kowace shekara na Wanhua a lardin Fujian ya fara aiki a watan Disamba na 2022, wanda sannu a hankali ya zama na yau da kullun bayan kwata na farko. A halin da ake ciki, rukunin cyclohexylamine na Wanhua a Yantai mai nauyin ton 70,000 a shekara ya fara aikin gwaji a watan Maris. Bayan an shigar da sabon ƙarfin samarwa a cikin aiki, buƙatar albarkatun aniline a cikin ƙasa ya karu sosai. Sakamakon a cikin kwata na farko na kasuwar aniline gabaɗaya har yanzu yana cikin mawuyacin halin wadata, sa'an nan kuma sami goyon baya mai ƙarfi ga farashin.

Farashi ya fi ƙarfin ribar masana'antar aniline ta farko kwata ta ƙaru a hankali

Ribar aniline na farko kwata ya nuna ci gaba da haɓaka haɓaka. Daga watan Janairu zuwa Maris, in da kasar Sin ta Gabas ta zama misali, yawan ribar da kamfanonin Aniline suka samu a cikin gida ya kai yuan 2,404/ton, wanda ya ragu da kashi 20.87 bisa dari a wata, da kashi 21.97 bisa dari a kowace shekara. A cikin kwata na farko, saboda ƙarancin wadata a cikin kasuwar aniline na cikin gida, a bayyane farashin yana goyan bayan faɗuwar farashin farashi tare da samfuran ƙasa, kuma an gyara ribar masana'antu a hankali tare. Kamar yadda kasuwar cikin gida da fitarwar kasuwa na aniline a farkon kwata da kwata na hudu na 2022 ya yi kyau, ribar masana'antu ta karu sosai. Sabili da haka, ribar aniline a farkon kwata na 2023 ta ƙi bisa tsari.

Bukatun cikin gida ya karu kuma fitar da kaya zuwa kasashen waje ya ragu a cikin kwata na farko

Dangane da bayanan kwastam da alkalumman bayanai na Zhuo Chuang, ana sa ran yawan fitar da aniline na cikin gida a cikin rubu'in farko na shekarar 2023 zai kai tan 40,000, ko kuma ya ragu da kashi 1.3% daga kwata na baya, ko kuma kasa da kashi 53.97% a duk shekara. Kodayake samar da aniline na cikin gida ya ci gaba da karuwa a cikin kwata na farko, fitar da aniline a cikin kwata na farko na iya nuna raguwa kadan daga kwata na baya saboda karuwar buƙatun cikin gida kuma babu wani fa'ida a cikin farashin kasuwannin fitarwa. Idan aka kwatanta da kwata na farko na shekarar 2022, sakamakon karuwar albarkatun kasa a Turai a cikin kwata na farko na shekarar 2022, matsin farashin masu kera Aniline na cikin gida ya karu, kana bukatar shigo da kayayyakin Aniline daga kasar Sin ya karu sosai. A ƙarƙashin fa'idar fa'idar farashin fitarwa, masu kera aniline na cikin gida sun fi karkata zuwa fitarwa. Tare da sakin sabon ƙarfin samar da ruwa a cikin ƙasa a kasar Sin, yanayin samar da kayan aikin tabo na gida na aniline zai kasance a bayyane. Ana sa ran cewa kasuwar fitarwa a cikin kwata na biyu na iya ci gaba da kasancewa da ƙaramin matakin ƙaranci tare da ƙarancin wadata.

Kwata na biyu ana tsammanin aiki mai rauni mai rauni

A cikin kwata na biyu, ana sa ran kasuwar aniline za ta girgiza. A ƙarshen Maris farashin aniline ya kai matsayi mai girma, ƙasa ta sami rikice-rikicen kayayyaki, babban haɗarin kasuwa ya karu a cikin Afrilu ya fara raguwa cikin sauri. A cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci da matsakaici, sashin aniline a hankali ya ci gaba da samarwa kuma yana gudana kusa da cikakken kaya, kuma bangaren samar da kasuwa yana da hankali ya zama sako-sako. Ko da yake Huatai yana shirin gudanar da bincike da gyare-gyare a watan Afrilu, shirin Fuqiang da Jinling na gudanar da bincike da gyare-gyare a cikin watan Mayu, bayan watan Mayu, masana'antar taya ta tashar jiragen ruwa ta shiga cikin kashe-kakar yanayi, wanda ya rage yawan buƙatun kayan haɗin roba a ƙasan aniline. sannan bangaren wadata da bukatu na kasuwar aniline zai yi rauni sannu a hankali. Daga yanayin albarkatun kasa, kodayake farashin benzene mai tsabta da nitric acid har yanzu yana da ƙarfi, amma saboda ribar masana'antar aniline na yanzu har yanzu tana da wadatar arziki, don haka ɓangaren farashi na ingantaccen haɓaka ko iyakance. Gabaɗaya, a cikin kwata na biyu, a ƙarƙashin tushen ƙarancin wadata da buƙatu, kasuwar aniline na cikin gida na iya tafiyar da duk kewayon oscillation.