A yau, kasuwar danyen mai ta duniya ta fi damuwa da taron asusun tarayya a ranar 25 ga Yuli. A ranar 21 ga Yuli, bernanke, shugaban asusun tarayya, ya ce: "Federal za ta ƙara yawan riba ga maki 25 a taron na gaba, wanda zai iya zama karo na ƙarshe a watan Yuli." A gaskiya ma, wannan ya yi daidai da tsammanin kasuwa, kuma yuwuwar karuwar maki 25 a cikin ƙimar riba ya karu zuwa 99.6%, galibi hanyar haɗi ce ga ƙusa.

Jerin ƙwararrun masu haɓaka ƙimar Fedtafiye-tafiye

Tun daga Maris 2022, Babban Bankin Tarayya ya ƙara yawan riba sau 10 a jere, wanda ya tara maki 500, kuma daga watan Yuni zuwa Nuwamba na bara, ƙarin riba sau huɗu a jere da maki 75, a wannan lokacin, ma'aunin dala ya tashi da kashi 9%, yayin da farashin ɗanyen mai na WTI ya faɗi da kashi 10.5%. Dabarun haɓaka ƙimar riba na wannan shekarar yana da ɗan ƙaranci, tun daga ranar 20 ga Yuli, ma'aunin dala 100.78, ƙasa da kashi 3.58% daga farkon shekara, ya yi ƙasa da matakin da ya gabata kafin hauhawar farashin mai mai tsanani na bara. Daga mahangar aikin mako-mako na ma'aunin dala, yanayin ya ƙarfafa a cikin kwanaki biyu da suka gabata don sake dawo da 100+.

Dangane da bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, darajar CPI ta faɗi zuwa kashi 3% a watan Yuni, raguwar ta 11 a watan Maris, mafi ƙanƙanta tun daga Maris 2021. Ya faɗi daga babban kashi 9.1% zuwa mafi kyawun yanayi a bara, kuma ci gaba da tsaurara manufofin kuɗi da Fed ke yi ya sanya tattalin arzikin da ke fuskantar zafi ya yi sanyi, shi ya sa kasuwa ta yi ta hasashe cewa Fed zai daina ƙara yawan riba nan ba da jimawa ba.

Babban ma'aunin farashin PCE, wanda ya cire farashin abinci da makamashi, shine ma'aunin hauhawar farashin da Fed ta fi so saboda jami'an Fed suna ganin babban PCE a matsayin mafi wakiltar yanayin da ke ƙasa. Babban ma'aunin farashin PCE a Amurka ya sami ƙimar shekara-shekara na kashi 4.6 cikin ɗari a watan Mayu, har yanzu yana cikin babban matakin, kuma ƙimar karuwar ta kasance mafi girma tun watan Janairun wannan shekarar. Fed har yanzu tana fuskantar ƙalubale guda huɗu: ƙarancin wurin farawa don hauhawar farashin farko, yanayin kuɗi mai sassauƙa fiye da yadda ake tsammani, girman ƙarfin tattalin arziki, da canje-canje a cikin kashe kuɗi da amfani saboda annobar. Kuma kasuwar aiki har yanzu tana da zafi sosai, kuma Fed za ta so ganin daidaiton wadata da buƙata a kasuwar aiki ya inganta kafin ta ayyana nasara a yaƙi da hauhawar farashin. Don haka wannan shine dalili ɗaya da ya sa Fed bai daina ƙara farashi ba a yanzu.

Yanzu da barazanar koma bayan tattalin arziki a Amurka ta ragu sosai, kasuwa na sa ran koma bayan tattalin arziki zai yi sauƙi, kuma kasuwa tana ware kadarori don samun sauƙi. Taron ƙimar riba na Babban Bankin Tarayya a ranar 26 ga Yuli zai ci gaba da mai da hankali kan yuwuwar hauhawar farashin tushe na maki 25 a halin yanzu, wanda zai haɓaka ma'aunin dala da kuma rage farashin mai.