A yau, kasuwar danyen mai ta kasa da kasa ta fi damuwa da taron asusun ajiyar tarayya na ranar 25 ga watan Yuli. A ranar 21 ga watan Yuli Bernanke, shugaban asusun ajiyar na tarayya, ya ce: "Federal Reserve zai kara kudin ruwa ga maki 25 a taro na gaba." wanda zai iya zama karo na ƙarshe a watan Yuli." A gaskiya ma, wannan ya dace da tsammanin kasuwa, kuma yuwuwar karuwar ma'auni na 25 a cikin ƙimar riba ya tashi zuwa 99.6%, mafi yawan hanyar haɗi zuwa ƙusa.

Jerin Fed rate hike progress

Tun daga Maris 2022, Tarayyar Tarayya ta haɓaka yawan riba sau 10 a jere ya tara maki 500, kuma daga Yuni zuwa Nuwamba na bara, ƙimar riba huɗu a jere tana ƙaruwa da maki 75, a cikin wannan lokacin, ƙimar dala ta tashi da 9% , yayin da WTI farashin danyen mai ya fadi da kashi 10.5%. Dabarar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta bana tana da ɗan ƙanƙanta, tun daga ranar 20 ga Yuli, ƙimar dala 100.78, ta ragu da kashi 3.58 cikin ɗari daga farkon shekara, ta yi ƙasa da matakin da aka samu kafin tashin gwauron zabi na bara. Daga yanayin aikin mako-mako na index ɗin dala, yanayin ya ƙarfafa a cikin kwanaki biyu da suka gabata don sake samun 100+.

Dangane da bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, cpi ya fadi zuwa 3% a cikin watan Yuni, raguwar 11th a cikin Maris, mafi ƙanƙanta tun Maris 2021. Ya faɗi daga babban 9.1% zuwa mafi kyawun yanayi a bara, kuma Fed na ci gaba da tsaurara matakan kuɗi. Lallai manufofin sun sanyaya tattalin arzikin da ke tabarbarewa, dalilin da ya sa kasuwa ta yi ta hasashen cewa nan ba da dadewa ba gwamnatin tarayya za ta daina kara kudin ruwa.

Babban ma'aunin farashin PCE, wanda ke fitar da farashin abinci da makamashi, shine ma'aunin hauhawar farashin da Fed ya fi so saboda jami'an Fed suna ganin ainihin PCE a matsayin ƙarin wakilcin abubuwan da ke faruwa. Babban jigon farashin PCE a Amurka ya rubuta adadin shekara-shekara na 4.6 bisa dari a watan Mayu, har yanzu yana kan matsayi mai girma, kuma yawan ci gaban ya kasance mafi girma tun watan Janairun wannan shekara. Fed har yanzu yana fuskantar ƙalubale guda huɗu: ƙarancin farawa don haɓaka ƙimar farko, ƙarancin yanayin kuɗi fiye da yadda ake tsammani, girman kuzarin kasafin kuɗi, da canje-canjen kashewa da amfani saboda cutar. Kuma kasuwar aiki har yanzu tana da zafi sosai, kuma Fed za ta so ganin daidaiton samar da buƙatu a cikin kasuwancin aiki ya inganta kafin ayyana nasara a yaƙi da hauhawar farashin kaya. Don haka wannan shine dalili ɗaya da yasa Fed bai daina haɓaka ƙimar ba a yanzu.

Yanzu da hadarin koma bayan tattalin arziki a Amurka ya ragu sosai, kasuwa na tsammanin koma bayan tattalin arziki ya yi kadan, kuma kasuwa tana ware kadarori don sauka mai laushi. Taron kudin ruwa na Tarayyar Tarayya a ranar 26 ga watan Yuli zai ci gaba da mai da hankali kan yuwuwar hauhawar farashin ma'auni 25 a halin yanzu, wanda zai inganta darajar dala da kuma hana farashin mai.