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A shekarar 2023, hauhawar farashin dizal a kasuwar kasar Sin, an samu karuwar farashi mai yawa guda biyu, maimakon lokacin kololuwar, tun daga ranar 11 ga Disamba, farashin dizal ya kai yuan 7590/ton, sama da kashi 0.9% daga farkon shekarar, ya ragu da kashi 5.85% a shekara, matsakaicin farashin shekara-shekara na yuan 7440/ton, ya ragu da kashi 8.3% a shekara. Tun daga farkon wannan shekarar, matsakaicin farashin Brent na shekara-shekara na dala Amurka 82.42/ganga, ya ragu da kashi 17.57%, raguwar danyen mai ya fi na dizal girma sosai, kuma bangaren wadata da bukatu yana goyon bayan farashin dizal fiye da danyen mai.

Farashin busar dizal na shekarar 2023 har yanzu ya fi na shekarar da ta gabata yawa, tun daga watan Satumba da raguwar farashin kasuwa, karuwar farashin busar ya fara raguwa, ribar dillalai akasin haka, tun daga shekarar 2023 da ake samarwa da dizal a cikin gida da ribar dillalai ta yaya ake watsawa? Ta yaya makomar za ta bunkasa?

A wannan shekarar, farashin man dizal ya fara da ƙarfi, tun daga ƙarancin kayan da aka samu a farkon shekara, da kuma kyakkyawan tsammani bayan ƙarshen annobar, inda aka buɗe overdraft na hannun jari a gaba, sannan buƙatar ta yi ƙasa da yadda aka zata, farashin man dizal ya faɗi kusan yuan 300/tan a watan Maris, raguwar ta fi ta fetur, saboda farkon kayan dizal sun fi yawa a ɓangaren da ya fi girma, kuma farashin ya faɗi lokacin da tsakiya da ƙasa suka zubar da ƙarin kayayyaki. A watan Afrilu, ɓangaren farashi shine babban dalilin da ya sa aka ƙara farashin, ƙarin rage yawan samar da mai na OPEC+ ya jawo farashin mai na ƙasashen duniya da sauri fiye da kashi 7%, iyakokin farashin kayayyakin mai da aka tace suma sun yi maraba da mafi girman ƙaruwa na fiye da yuan 500/ton a cikin shekarar, wanda ya goyi bayan hauhawar farashin dizal, amma buƙatar da aka samu a ƙarshen lokacin yana da wuya a tallafawa karuwar ta fara shiga cikin mawuyacin hali, ta faɗi zuwa yuan 7060/ton a ranar 30 ga Yuni. Farashin matatar mai mai zaman kanta ta Shandong ta faɗi ƙasa da yuan 7,000/ton a watan Yuni, kuma matsakaicin farashin ya faɗi zuwa mafi ƙanƙantar matsayi na yuan 6,722/ton a ranar 28 ga Yuni. A watan Yuli, tare da raguwar farashin da ya faɗi zuwa matsakaicin matakin shekaru goma, 'yan kasuwa sun fara buɗe wurare a gaba, kuma farashin ya tashi zuwa ƙasan da ake sa ran zai dawo, tare da ƙaruwa har zuwa yuan 739/ton a cikin watan. Daga watan Agusta zuwa Satumba, tunani da buƙata sun goyi bayan babban canjin farashin mai, tun daga Oktoba, farashin ya fara faɗuwa, kuma farashin da ya tashi a gaba shi ma ya faɗi a gaba. A watan Nuwamba, yayin da farashin ya faɗi zuwa matakin farashin wasu matatun mai, matatun mai sun fara rage nauyin, kuma manyan kamfanoni sun rage shirin samar da kayayyaki bisa ga kayansu da kuma tsammanin buƙatunsu. Jimillar samar da mai da dizal a watan Nuwamba shine mafi ƙanƙanta a daidai wannan lokacin tun daga 2017, wanda ya tallafawa farashi, inda ɗanyen mai ya faɗi da kashi 7.52 cikin ɗari, yayin da dizal ya faɗi da kashi 3.6 cikin ɗari kawai. A watan Disamba, har yanzu ana sa ran samar da dizal zai zama mafi ƙanƙanta a cikin wannan lokacin tun daga 2017, kuma har yanzu akwai goyon baya mai ƙarfi ga farashi.

Tun daga shekarar 2023, matsakaicin bambancin farashi na fashewar dizal a matatar mai mai zaman kanta ta Shandong shine yuan 724/ton, wanda ya karu da kashi 5.85% idan aka kwatanta da wannan lokacin a shekarar 2022, shekarar ta nuna rauni kafin mai karfi, rabin farko na shekarar ya fi girma fiye da lokacin da ya gabata, watan Satumba ya fara raguwa fiye da matakin bara, yanayin ya bambanta da wannan lokacin a bara, lokacin kololuwar ya ragu, lokacin hutun kakar wasa ya karu, ya bambanta da dokar hutun kakar wasa a shekarun baya.

Tun daga farkon shekarar 2023, matsakaicin ribar da ake samu daga man dizal na kasar Sin ya kai yuan 750 a kowace tan, wanda ya ragu da kashi 6.08% idan aka kwatanta da wannan lokacin a shekarar 2022, yanayin ya saba da karuwar farashin da ya fadi, kuma yana nuna alamun rauni a cikin kwata uku na farko da kuma karfi a kwata na hudu, kuma yanayin ribar da ake samu daga dillalai a baya ya nuna wani yanayi daban, galibi saboda raguwar farashin mai da wuri a lokacin amfani, kuma farashin siyan gidajen mai ya ragu.

Tun daga watan Disamba, yawan farashin busar dizal ya tashi da sauri, kuma ya kai yuan 1013/ton a ranar 7 ga Disamba, hauhawar farashin busar da kaya cikin sauri a lokacin da ake amfani da shi a lokacin hutun lokacin amfani, tashin hankalin albarkatun da ke tattare da ƙarancin samar da man dizal da hauhawar farashin jirgin ruwa suma sun shafi buƙatar siyan wasu kamfanonin kasuwanci, kuma cinikin odar jiragen ruwa ya ragu sosai. Kuma karuwar wadatar da wannan watan ta takaita ne da kayan masarufi, hauhawar na iya zama ƙarami, kodayake wasu matatun mai a Shandong na iya amfani da wani ɓangare na ƙa'idar shekara mai zuwa a gaba, amma ana sa ran za a fitar da takardar adadin da aka yarda da ita ta 2024 kafin 25, ƙarin kayan masarufi yana da iyaka sosai, tare da sanyin arewa sosai, ana sa ran buƙata za ta ragu, rashin daidaito tsakanin wadata da buƙata za a gyara a hankali, wasu 'yan kasuwa sun fara rage yawan fashewar, dizal na Bearish. Ana sa ran a watan Janairu na shekara mai zuwa, yayin da aka magance ƙarancin kayan masarufi na matatun mai, ana sa ran wadatar za ta tashi, kuma farashin dizal da bambancin farashin fashewa za su ragu zuwa wani mataki, kuma jigilar riba za ta koma ga dillalai a hankali.

 


Lokacin Saƙo: Disamba-14-2023