Sassan kasuwa daban-daban suna da buƙatu daban-daban don ingancin ammonia da farashi.

Tun daga shekara ta 2022, an fara aiwatar da shirin aikin koren ammonia na cikin gida, la'akari da cewa tsawon lokacin aikin gabaɗaya ya kai shekaru 2 zuwa 3, aikin ammonia na cikin gida yana gab da kawo samar da kayayyaki a tsakiya. Masana'antu sun annabta cewa ta hanyar 2024, ammonia kore a cikin gida ko za su sami damar shiga kasuwa, kuma ƙarfin samarwa zai kasance kusa da ton miliyan 1 / shekara ta 2025. bukatu don ingancin samfur da farashin ammonia na roba, kuma ya zama dole a fara daga yanayin yanayin kowane mahaɗin kasuwa don bincika damar kasuwa na ammonia kore.

Dangane da yanayin samarwa da buƙatun buƙatun ammonia na roba a cikin kasar Sin, buƙatun ingancin samfurin kowane ɓangaren kasuwa da farashin ammonia, binciken NENG Jing ya bincika kawai ribar da sararin kasuwa na ammonia kore a cikin kowane jagorar kasuwa don tuntuɓar masana'antu.

01 Kasuwar ammonia ta kore tana da manyan kwatance guda uku

A wannan mataki, wadata da buƙatun kasuwancin ammonia na roba na cikin gida sun daidaita daidai, kuma akwai wani matsa lamba mai yawa.

A gefen buƙatu, amfani na fili yana ci gaba da girma. Dangane da bayanan Hukumar Kididdiga da Kwastam ta Kasa, kasuwar ammonia ta roba ta mamaye cin abinci na cikin gida, kuma yawan amfani da ammonia na cikin gida zai karu da kusan 1% a duk shekara daga 2020 zuwa 2022, ya kai kusan tan miliyan 53.2 nan da 2022. By 2025, tare da haɓakar haɓakar caprolactam da sauran na'urori na ƙasa, ana tsammanin zai tallafawa haɓakar amfani da ammonia na roba, kuma amfanin da ake iya gani zai kai tan miliyan 60.

A gefen wadata, jimlar yawan ƙarfin samar da ammonia na roba yana cikin mataki na "ƙasa". Bisa kididdigar da kungiyar masana'antar taki ta Nitrogen ta fitar, tun bayan bude karfin samar da sinadarin ammonia na roba a kasar Sin a lokacin "shirin shekaru biyar na 13", an kammala daidaita tsarin karfin samar da kayayyaki nan da shekarar 2022, da kuma samar da kayayyaki. karfin ammonia roba ya canza daga raguwa zuwa karuwa a karon farko, yana murmurewa daga ton miliyan 64.88 / shekara a cikin 2021 zuwa tan miliyan 67.6 / shekara, kuma fiye da ton miliyan 4 / shekara na iya aiki na shekara (ban da kore ammonia) shine shirin sauka. Ta hanyar 2025, ƙarfin samarwa ko fiye da ton miliyan 70 / shekara, haɗarin wuce gona da iri yana da girma.

Noma, masana'antar sinadarai da makamashi za su kasance manyan hanyoyin kasuwa guda uku na ammonia roba da kore ammonia. Filayen noma da sinadarai sune kasuwar hannun jari na ammonia roba. Bisa kididdigar da aka yi na bayanin Zhuochuang, a shekarar 2022, yawan amfani da ammonia roba a fannin aikin gona zai kai kusan kashi 69% na yawan amfani da ammonia da ake amfani da shi a kasar Sin, musamman wajen samar da urea, takin phosphate da sauran takin zamani; Yawan amfani da ammonia na roba a cikin masana'antar sinadarai ya kai kusan kashi 31%, wanda galibi ana amfani da shi wajen samar da sinadarai kamar su nitric acid, caprolactam da acrylonitrile. Sashin makamashi shine kasuwa mai haɓakawa na gaba don ammonia roba. Dangane da kididdigar da kididdigar binciken Makamashi, a wannan mataki, yawan amfani da ammonia na roba a cikin makamashin makamashi har yanzu bai kai 0.1% na yawan amfani da ammonia na roba ba, kuma a shekarar 2050, yawan amfanin ammonia na roba a cikin makamashi. Ana sa ran filin zai kai sama da kashi 25%, kuma yuwuwar yanayin aikace-aikacen sun haɗa da dillalan ajiyar hydrogen, man sufuri, da konewar ammonia-doped a cikin tashoshin wutar lantarki.

02 Buƙatun noma - Kula da farashin ƙasa yana da ƙarfi, koren ribar ammonia ya ɗan ƙarami, buƙatun ammonia a cikin filin noma yana da kwanciyar hankali. Yanayin amfani da ammonia a fagen noma ya haɗa da samar da urea da takin ammonium phosphate. Daga cikin su, samar da urea shine mafi girman yanayin yadda ake amfani da ammonia a fagen noma, kuma ana cinye tan 0.57-0.62 na ammonia ga kowane tan 1 na urea da aka samar. A cewar Hukumar Kididdiga ta Kasa, daga shekarar 2018 zuwa 2022, samar da urea na cikin gida ya karu a kusan tan miliyan 50 a kowace shekara, kuma daidai da bukatar ammonia roba ta kusan tan miliyan 30 a shekara. Adadin ammonia da takin ammonium phosphate ke cinye shine kusan tan miliyan 5 a kowace shekara, wanda kuma yana da inganci.

Samar da takin nitrogen a filin noma yana da ɗan sassaucin buƙatun don tsabta da ingancin albarkatun ammonia. Dangane da ma'aunin GB536-88 na ƙasa, ammonia ruwa yana da kyawawan kayayyaki, samfuran aji na farko, samfuran da suka dace da maki uku, abun cikin ammonia ya kai 99.9%, 99.8%, 99.6% ko fiye. Nitrogen taki, kamar urea, yana da faffadan buƙatu don inganci da tsabtar samfura, kuma masana'antun gabaɗaya suna buƙatar albarkatun ammonia na ruwa don isa darajar samfuran da suka cancanta. Gabaɗaya farashin ammonia a cikin aikin gona yana da ɗan ƙaramin ƙarfi. Ta fuskar samar da ammonia da farashin ammonia, urea na cikin gida da kuma wasu samar da taki na ammonium phosphate yana da injin ammonia da ya gina kansa, farashin ammonia ya dogara ne da farashin kasuwa na kwal, iskar gas da ingancin shuka ammonia. , farashin ammonia gabaɗaya shine 1500 ~ 3000 yuan/ton. Gabaɗaya, farashin da ake yarda da shi na albarkatun ammonia a fagen aikin gona bai kai yuan 4000/ton ba. Bisa kididdigar yawan kayayyakin da ‘yan kasuwa suka yi, daga shekarar 2018 zuwa 2022, urea ya kai kusan yuan 2,600 a kan farashi mafi girma, kuma kusan yuan 1,700 a farashi mafi karanci. Binciken makamashi haɗe tare da matakai daban-daban na farashi mai mahimmanci, farashin tsari da sauran dalilai, idan ba asara ba, urea a mafi girma da mafi ƙasƙanci farashin daidai da farashin ammonia na kimanin 3900 yuan / ton zuwa 2200 yuan / ton, a cikin farashin ammonia kore. layi da ƙasa da matakin.