Kasuwar dai na ci gaba da nuna shakku kan aiwatar da shirin rage hako OPEC+ na son rai, kuma farashin man fetur na kasa da kasa ya yi faduwa tsawon kwanaki shida a jere, amma faduwa ya ragu. Ya zuwa ranar 7 ga watan Disamba, WTI zai samu dalar Amurka $69.34/ ganga, Brent dai zai samu dala 74.05/ganga, duka biyun sun fadi kasa da kasa tun ranar 28 ga watan Yuni.

Farashin danyen mai na kasa da kasa ya fadi sosai a wannan makon, ya zuwa ranar 7 ga watan Disamba, makomar danyen mai na WTI ya fadi da kashi 10.94 bisa 100 daga ranar 29 ga watan Nuwamba, makomar danyen mai na Brent ya fadi da kashi 10.89 bisa dari a daidai wannan lokacin. Bayan taron OPEC+, shakkun kasuwa game da rage yawan noman radin kai ya ci gaba da yin tsami, wanda ya zama babban abin da ke auna farashin mai. Na biyu, kayayyakin da aka tace a Amurka suna karuwa, kuma hasashen bukatar man fetur ya kasance mara kyau, yana matsa lamba kan farashin mai. Bugu da kari, a ranar 7 ga watan Disamba, Amurka ta fitar da bayanan tattalin arziki daban-daban, hukumar kwastam ta kasar Sin ta fitar da fitar da danyen mai daga kasashen waje da sauran bayanan da ke da alaka da su, da kimanta kasuwar tattalin arzikin duniya da yadda ake samarwa da bukatu, yanayin taka tsantsan ya karu. Musamman:

Adadin Amurkawa da ke shigar da kara don fa'idodin rashin aikin yi ya karu kasa da yadda ake tsammani a makon da ya gabata yayin da bukatar ayyukan yi ta yi sanyi kuma kasuwar kwadago ta ci gaba da raguwa sannu a hankali. Da'awar farko na fa'idodin rashin aikin yi na jihar ya tashi 1,000 zuwa 220,000 da aka daidaita na lokaci-lokaci a cikin satin da ya ƙare Dec. 2, bayanan Ma'aikatar Kwadago ta nuna a ranar Alhamis. Hakan na nuni da cewa kasuwar kwadagon tana tafiyar hawainiya. Rahoton ya nuna akwai guraben ayyuka 1.34 ga kowane mutum mara aikin yi a watan Oktoba, matakin mafi ƙanƙanta tun watan Agustan 2021. Buƙatar aiki na yin sanyi tare da tattalin arziƙin ƙasa, wanda ke raguwa ta hanyar hauhawar farashin ruwa. Don haka, hasashen da Fed ta yi na karshen wannan zagaye na karin kudin ruwa ya sake kunno kai a kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi, kuma yuwuwar rashin karuwar kudin ruwa a watan Disamba ya zarce kashi 97%, kuma tasirin karin kudin ruwa kan farashin mai ya yi rauni. . Amma a lokaci guda, damuwa game da tattalin arzikin Amurka da raguwar buƙatu kuma sun dagula yanayin ciniki a kasuwannin gaba.

Sabbin bayanan EIA da aka fitar a wannan makon sun nuna cewa yayin da kasuwancin danyen mai na Amurka ya ragu, Cushing danyen mai, man fetur, da distillate duk suna cikin halin ajiya. A cikin mako na 1 ga Disamba, Cushing ta hayar danyen mai na ganga miliyan 29.551, wanda ya karu da 6.60% daga makon da ya gabata, wanda ya tashi tsawon makonni 7 a jere. Kayayyakin man fetur ya tashi tsawon makonni uku kai tsaye zuwa ganga miliyan 223.604, wanda ya haura ganga miliyan 5.42 idan aka kwatanta da makon da ya gabata, yayin da kayayyakin da ake shigowa da su suka tashi da kuma raguwar fitar da su zuwa kasashen waje. Hannun jarin distillate ya tashi a mako na biyu kai tsaye zuwa ganga miliyan 1120.45, wanda ya haura ganga miliyan 1.27 idan aka kwatanta da makon da ya gabata, yayin da samar da kayayyaki ya karu da karuwar shigo da kayayyaki. Karancin bukatar man fetur na damun kasuwa, farashin danyen mai na kasa da kasa na ci gaba da faduwa.

Sai kasuwar danyen mai ta gaba, bangaren samar da kayayyaki: gudanar da taron OPEC+ takobi ne mai kaifi biyu, duk da cewa babu wata fa'ida mai kyau a fili, amma har yanzu akwai takura a bangaren samar da kayayyaki. A halin yanzu, Saudi Arabiya, Rasha da Aljeriya suna da maganganu masu kyau, suna ƙoƙari su sake mayar da hankali ga halin da ake ciki, abin da ya faru na kasuwa ya kasance da za a gani, tsarin ƙaddamar da kayan aiki bai canza ba; Bukatar gabaɗaya ba ta da kyau, yana da wahala a inganta sosai a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, kuma ana sa ran buƙatun samfuran mai a cikin hunturu ya ragu. Bugu da kari, Saudi Arabiya ta rage farashin tallace-tallace a hukumance ga yankin, wanda ke nuna rashin kwarin gwiwa game da hasashen bukatar Asiya. A halin yanzu, farashin man fetur na duniya ya kasance kusa da mafi ƙanƙanci na ƙarshen shekara 71.84 dalar Amurka / ganga bayan ci gaba da raguwa, mafi ƙanƙanci na Brent yana kusa da dalar Amurka 72, sau biyar kafin shekara ta kusa da wannan batu. koma baya. Saboda haka, farashin man fetur ya ci gaba da raguwa ko kuma ya fi iyakancewa, akwai damar sake dawowa. Bayan faduwar farashin man fetur da ake ci gaba da yi, masu samar da man sun nuna goyon bayansu ga kasuwar, kuma OPEC+ ba ta fitar da sabbin matakan daidaita kasuwannin ba, kuma farashin man na iya yin kasa a gwiwa.