Abstract: A farkon rabin shekarar 2023, kasuwar phenol ta cikin gida ta tashi da faɗuwa, kuma farashin ya kasance ne ta hanyar wadata da abubuwan buƙatu. Farashin tabo ya bambanta a kusa da 6000-8000 yuan/ton, wanda ya kasance a ƙaramin matakin a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata. Bisa kididdigar da Longzhong ta yi, matsakaicin farashin phenol a gabashin kasar Sin a farkon rabin farkon shekarar 2023 ya kai yuan 7,410, ya ragu da yuan/ton 3,319, kwatankwacin kashi 30.93%, idan aka kwatanta da yuan 10,729 a farkon rabin shekarar 2022. Mafi girma Maki a farkon rabin shekarar ya kai yuan/ton 8275 a karshen watan Fabrairu; Matsakaicin matsakaicin shine yuan 6200 akan kowace tan a farkon watan Yuni.

1. Bita na kasuwa

Ranar Sabuwar Shekara ta hutu a mayar da birnin, ko da yake Jiangyin phenol tashar jiragen ruwa kaya ne low zuwa 11,000 ton, amma idan akai la'akari da tasirin sabon phenol ketone kayan aiki a cikin samar, m siyan ya ragu, da kasuwar raguwa ƙara masana'antu jira da gani; Bayan da aka sanya sabbin kayan aikin kasa da yadda ake zato, wurin ya tsaya tsayin daka don tada kasuwa zuwa sama, yayin da bikin bazara ke gabatowa, tsayin daka na zirga-zirga tsakanin yankuna ya karu, kuma kasuwa a hankali ya koma yanayin rufewa. Bayan dawowa kasuwa a lokacin bikin bazara, phenol ya yi maraba da farawa mai kyau, tare da karuwar yuan 400-500 a cikin kwanakin aiki biyu kacal. Idan aka yi la'akari da farfadowar tashar bayan hutu, yana ɗaukar lokaci kafin kasuwa ta daina tashi da faɗuwa, lokacin da farashin ya kai yuan 7700 / ton, idan aka yi la'akari da tsadar farashi da matsakaicin farashi, niyya na jigilar kayayyaki don samar da riba ya zama rauni. A cikin watan Fabrairu, nau'ikan na'urorin phenol ketone guda biyu a Lianyungang sun yi aiki cikin kwanciyar hankali, an haɓaka haƙƙin yin magana game da samfuran cikin gida a cikin kasuwar phenol, kuma aikin jiragen ruwa da kayan da ake shigowa da su ya shafi aikin kako da kakin zuma da ke cikin jigilar kayayyaki. . Duk da cewa jigilar kayayyaki zuwa fitarwa da ayyukan tattaunawa a cikin lokaci guda an fara motsa su, tallafin yana da iyaka, kuma kasuwar gabaɗaya ta ƙaru kuma ta ragu. A watan Maris, farkon bisphenol A na ƙasa ya ragu, matsa lamba na phenolic resin cikin gida, raguwar buƙatu a ƙarshen buƙatun ya haifar da raguwar phenol a wurare da yawa, kodayake tsadar farashi da matsakaicin farashi a lokacin don tallafawa kasuwa sama, amma doguwar sanda ba ta da sauki, kasuwar gajiya ta shiga tsakani a tsakaninsu.

Daga Afrilu zuwa Mayu, na'urorin phenol ketone na cikin gida sun shigar da su cikin lokacin kulawa na tsakiya, tasirin samarwa da buƙatun wasan motsa jiki, kasuwa a watan Afrilu ya gauraye, yanayin waje a watan Mayu ya yi rauni, ɓangaren buƙatu ya yi kasala, na'urar ta sake gyarawa. da wuya a saki, yanayin ƙasa da kasuwa ke jagoranta, da ƙarancin farashi ya ci gaba da haɓakawa. Kusa da tsakiyar watan Yuni, aikin ba da izini na ƙasa ya ƙãra shigar da masana'antu, tabo na cikin gida ya karu, matsin lamba na mai ɗaukar kaya ya sauƙaƙa, sha'awar ta karu, da kuma daidaitawar tashar da ta dace kafin bikin bikin Dragon Boat. cibiyar tallafi na nauyi a hankali ta tashi. Bayan bikin Boat na Dragon, aikin sayar da kasuwa ya ƙare na ɗan lokaci, haɗin gwiwar masana'antu ya ragu, jigilar kayayyaki ya zama mai rauni, an mai da hankali kan yanayin rauni kaɗan, kuma ciniki ya yi shuru.

2. Matsi akan riba da asara

A farkon rabin shekarar 2023, matsakaicin ribar kamfanonin phenol ketone ya kasance -356 yuan/ton, raguwar kashi 138.83% a duk shekara, mafi girman ribar bayan tsakiyar watan Mayu ya kai yuan/ton 217, kuma mafi ƙarancin daraja. ya kasance -1134.75 yuan/ton a farkon watan Yuni. A farkon rabin shekarar 2023, yawan ribar da ake samu na na'urorin phenol ketone na cikin gida galibi ba su da kyau, kuma yawan lokacin riba ya kai kusan wata 1, kuma ribar ba ta wuce yuan 300/ton ba. Duk da cewa yanayin farashin albarkatun kasa sau biyu a farkon rabin shekarar 2023 bai kai lokaci guda a cikin 2022 ba, farashin phenol ketone shima iri ɗaya ne, har ma ya fi muni da ƙarshen albarkatun ƙasa, kuma yanayin asarar riba yana da wahala a sauƙaƙe. .

3. Yanayin kasuwa

A cikin rabin na biyu na 2023, a ƙarƙashin tsammanin cewa phenol na cikin gida da bisphenol na ƙasa za a fara aiki da sabbin na'urori, tsarin samarwa da buƙatu za su kasance masu rinjaye, kuma kasuwa za ta kasance mai canzawa ko al'ada. Sakamakon shirin kera sabbin na'urori, gasar da ake yi tsakanin kayayyakin da ake shigowa da su gida da waje, na cikin gida da na cikin gida za a kara tsananta, yanayin farawa da tsayawa na na'urorin na'urorin phenol ketone na cikin gida suna da sauyi, da yanayin fitar da kayayyaki da na cikin gida a wasu yankunan da ke karkashin ruwa. ana iya ragewa, saurin sabbin samar da bisphenol A da fara sabbin na'urori suma suna da matukar mahimmanci, ba shakka, a cikin ci gaba da asara a masana'antar phenol ketone. Hakanan ana buƙatar kallon farashi da motsin farashi. Yin la'akari da halin da ake ciki da abubuwan samarwa da buƙatu za su fuskanta da kuma halin da ake ciki na riba da asara a halin yanzu, ana sa ran cewa kasuwar phenol na cikin gida a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara yana da wuyar samun haɓaka mai girma da faɗuwa, da hauhawar farashin farashi. Ana sa ran kewayon ya zama 6200-7500 yuan/ton.