[Gabatarwa] Yanayin kasuwar urea na baya-bayan nan ba shi da tabbas, a halin yanzu kasuwar tana cikin mawuyacin hali, yawancin mutane suna da tsammanin rashin tabbas, amma ainihin aikin ya koma baya, babban tasirin labarai mai daɗi a fagen ya ƙara ƙarfin gwiwar ciniki, kuma ya ɗaga farashin.
Da farko, kasuwa tana aiki, kuma farashin ya sake hauhawa
A halin yanzu, kasuwar urea ta cikin gida ta ci gaba da ƙaruwa tun daga ƙarshen watan Yuni, kodayake farashin yana da ɗan ƙaramin gyara a lokacin, amma jimlar farashin yana nuna hauhawar farashi. Idan aka ɗauki kasuwar Shandong a matsayin misali, tun daga ranar 13 ga Yuli, farashin kasuwar Shandong ya kasance yuan 2,400/ton, ƙarin yuan 170/ton daga wannan lokacin makon da ya gabata, ƙaruwar kashi 7.62%.
Daga ƙarshen watan Yuni zuwa farkon watan Yuli, kakar gyaran gashi a wasu yankuna na Arewa maso Gabashin China da Inner Mongolia ta ƙare fiye da yadda aka zata, kuma har yanzu akwai wasu buƙatun noma a wasu yankuna, waɗanda ke tallafawa kasuwar urea. A cewar wannan tsari, shiga farkon watan Yuli, farashin ko aikin kammalawa mai ban tsoro, yawancin mutanen da ke cikin masana'antar sun yi tsammanin ba za su yi ƙasa ba, ko kuma yuan 50-100/tan ƙasa, amma ainihin aikin kasuwa, kasuwar cikin gida tana ci gaba da hauhawa, kuma wasu farashin yanki na iya sake faɗuwa cikin babban shekarar.
Na biyu, fitarwa, faifan labarai masu daɗi, yanayi yana da kyau
Dangane da buƙatun cikin gida kawai, farashi ba zai iya nuna ci gaban da ake samu a cikin makonni biyu da suka gabata ba. Daga cikinsu, abubuwan da suka haifar da hauhawar farashi a wannan makon su ne labaran fitar da kaya zuwa ƙasashen waje, da kuma tasirin ci gaba da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, wanda hakan ya sa cinikin ƙasa ya yi kyau.
Fitar da Kaya: Dangane da farashin rufewa na fitar da kaya a lokacin da ya gabata, karuwar manyan ƙwayoyin cuta ta fi bayyana, manyan ƙwayoyin cuta na Lang suna jigilar kaya daga ƙasashen waje da dala 262.01-272.01 na Amurka/tan, sama da dala 7-12 na Amurka/tan daga makon da ya gabata; babban tashar jiragen ruwa ta Masar (Turai) FOB 360.01-370.01 na Amurka/tan, sama da dala 15-20 na Amurka/tan; babban farashin ƙwayoyin cuta na Brazil CFR 315.01-325.01 na Amurka/tan, sama da dala 10-35 na Amurka/tan. A lokaci guda, masana'antun cikin gida suna jin tsoron cewa bayan ƙarshen buƙatar noma, kwararar kayayyaki tana da iyaka, kuma tattaunawar fitar da kaya ta ɗan yi kyau, kuma wasu masana'antun cikin gida suna da ƙarin odar kwararar jiragen ruwa. Ƙara yawan odar cikin gida da na ƙasashen waje na masana'antar, tare da rashin matsin lamba a bayyane, tunanin tayin ya fi ƙarfi.
Pan: Bayan shiga wannan makon, babban kwangilar ta yi ƙarfi, kuma wasu kwangiloli sun taɓa ƙaruwa da iyaka. Tun daga ƙarshen ranar 13 ga wata, yarjejeniyar yuan/ton ta 2063, ta karu da yuan/ton 30 daga ranar ciniki ta baya, ƙaruwar kashi 1.46%, ci gaba da jan faifan ya kuma ƙara wa ciniki a sarari rai.
Na uku, an canza tunanin masana'antu kaɗan, bin diddigin da aka yi a hankali
A bisa kididdigar kamfanonin samfura daban-daban da ke shiga kasuwar, yawancinsu suna da ƙarfi, suna da kashi 58.14%, sai kuma mutanen da ke zaune a gida sun kai kashi 41.86%, kuma kasuwar ba ta da ƙarfi tukuna.
Manyan dalilan da ke shafar tunanin masana'antu na yanzu sune kamar haka: 1. Dangane da masana'antu, akwai oda da yawa da ke jiran a aika, kuma adadin kwanakin da ake jira a aika ya kai tsawon wata guda a ƙarƙashin ƙaruwar sabbin oda a masana'antun da ke kewaye; A lokaci guda, babu matsin lamba kan kaya a masana'antar, kuma farashin har yanzu yana kan farashin. 2. 'Yan kasuwa, kodayake ana fargabar cewa za a sami juriya ga raguwar hauhawar farashi mai ɗorewa, ga yanayin ciniki mai kyau a yanzu, yawancinsu har yanzu suna da tsammanin bunƙasa mai kyau ga kasuwar mako mai zuwa. 3. Dangane da sauran nau'ikan kamfanoni, yanayin kwanan nan ya fi ba zato ba tsammani, kuma akwai fargabar abubuwan da ba zato ba tsammani da ke shafar yanayin kasuwa, don haka ya kamata a yi taka tsantsan a duba matakin.
Joyce
Kamfanin Masana'antu na MIT-IVY Ltd.
Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
Waya/WhatsApp: + 86 19961957599
Email : joyce@mit-ivy.com http://www.mit-ivy.com
Lokacin Saƙo: Yuli-18-2023




